우리나라 가계 자산의 80%를 차지하는 부동산 시장에 제대로 된 가격지수와 거래량 통계가 없다는 것은 정말 놀라운 일입니다. 이러한 상황하에서 많은 서민들이 자칭 전문가라는 사람들과 관련 이익단체의 잘못된 정보에 빠져 전 재산도 모자라 은행 빚까지 끌어들여 부동산에 투자했습니다.

 

김광수경제연구소 부동산경제팀은 우리나라 부동산 시장의 왜곡된 정보 생산 및 유통 구조를 바로잡고, 일반 국민들이 이해관계가 얽힌 엉터리 전문가와 왜곡된 언론보도로부터 더 이상 피해를 받지 않도록 하기 위해 [부동산 시장 흐름 읽는 법]을 출간했습니다.

 

[부동산 시장 흐름 읽는 법]은 부동산 시장의 흐름을 제대로 읽는 방법은 물론 부동산과 관련된 각종 자료 및 지표들을 읽는 법과 독자 스스로 기초 자료들을 분석하고 그 의미를 해석할 수 있는 방법에 대해 알기 쉽게 설명했습니다. 여기에 소개된 방법들은 저희 연구소에서도 활용하는 방법으로 많은 독자분들에게 도움이 되었으면 합니다. 

 

갈피를 잡을 수 없는 부동산 시장에서 이제는 냉정하게 이성적인 판단을 내려야 할 시기입니다. 이성적 판단의 근거는 사실이며, 사실의 근거는 숫자와 통계입니다. 주변의 부추김이나 언론의 선동보도에 흔들리지 않고 바른 결정을 내릴 수 있는 근거를 이 책 속에서 찾을 수 있습니다.

 

여러분들의 많은 성원을 부탁드리며, 구입을 원하시는 분들은 시중 서점이나 인터넷서점(예스24, 인터파크, 교보문고, 알라딘 등)에서 구입하실 수 있습니다.

 


 

 

차례

머리말_   정보와 부동산 투자  

 

1장 부동산 시장의 주요 지표들과 의미

왜곡된 집값 통계의 비밀 가격-가격지수

집값의 향배를 결정하는 지표 거래량

주택보급률을 둘러싼 오해와 진실 주택보급률

실제로 집을 살 수 있는 사람이 얼마나 될까 자가소유율           

투기와 실수요를 구별해주는 대표 지표 아파트 매매가 대비 전세가 비율    

사려는 사람이 많을까, 팔려는 사람이 많을까 매수세-매도세 동향          

          

2장 부동산 시장 관련 지표들 어떻게 찾고 어떻게 읽나

부동산 매트릭스에 속지 않는 법 |온나라부동산포털 |국토해양통계누리 |국토해양부 아파트 실거래가        

국민은행 |한국은행 경제통계시스템 |한국주택금융공사 |통계청 |대한건설협회

금융결제원 주택청약서비스 |대법원 법원경매정보     

 

3장 경제와 정책, 그리고 부동산 시장

경제학의 기본 원리를 통해 바라본 주택시장 주택시장의 공급과 수요

기준금리가 오르면 은행 이자는 얼마나 오를까 기준금리와 주택담보대출 금리      

부동산 버블의 일등공신 신용과 가계부채

인플레이션이 집값을 올려준다? 인플레이션과 디플레이션     

주택시장에서 무시할 수 없는 비용 부동산 세금과 거래비용        

장밋빛 경기전망과 부동산 시장의 미래 경기 회복과 주택가격       

2011, 주택수요 핵심층이 감소하기 시작한다 인구와 가계     

살집이 필요한 이들에게 공공임대주택·전세주택 정책   

우리 세금으로 건설회사 살린다 건설 부양과 건설업 구조조정           

과밀화로 멍드는 수도권, 난개발로 멍드는 지방 국토균형발전과 수도권 집중          

 

4장 대한민국 부동산 시장을 전망한다

자기 돈으로 집을 산 사람은 얼마나 될까 | 거래량 감소는 집값 하락의 신호탄이라는데 …

주택 공급 부족론을 무색케하는 공급 과잉의 현실 |지속될 수 없는 부채와 커져만 가는 이자 부담

 

 

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